Monday, September 26, 2011

World War III: A Possible Consequence of a Palestinian State

    It was in the beginning of the past century that the consequence of globalization came to fruition. A complex network of alliances set the stage for the first Great War. All it took, was a spark, the assassination of the Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austro-Hungary that set in motion a chain of events that, by thirty years later, would claim 100 million lives.
     It is now, in the 21st century, that history my repeat itself. If the Palestinian Authority is allowed legitimacy and membership in the United Nations, unconditionally, the results could be catastrophic. One of the most crucial conditions that the Palestinian Authority must meet to be granted full statehood, is full and disarmament and an agreement to not form any military alliances.
     Without these conditions, the alliance of Hamas and Fatah would likely continue to arm and engage in attacks on the population of Israel. It is also very likely that they would form alliances with Iran, Lebanon and Syria; possibly others. Israel already has a military alliance with the United States. If in this state of affairs, there were any sort of incident, a terrorist attack, assassination, or incursion of any kind, it is likely that Palestine, whose military capabilities are far inferior to that of Israel would call upon its new allies for assistance. In this case, the United States would be forced to come to aid of Israel seeing as they'd be at war with four other nations. Furthermore, it is not unreasonable to expect that other countries allied to the U.S. would be compelled to offer material assistance. Germany, England, Canada could all be drawn into the conflict.

     Of course this is all hypothetical, but the distinct possibility exists. The winner would by unknown, although the Israel/U.S. alliance would have a distinct advantage. In any event, thousands if not millions would die.
In short, the notion of Palestinian statehood may be inspiring to those who see the potential of Arab Spring as a beautiful renaissance, but there are real world dark consequences that would be bad for all sides.

     The important question is how can there be peace when Fatah and Hamas have not ceded the right to all of the land of Israel? How can liberty be attained, when they have not pledged to give up violence and terrorist attacks? How does a state equal peace, when the peoples of Syria, Libya, Lebanon, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and others have had states for decades, but they haven't quite completely figured out peace, liberty or democracy?

This is of course hyperbole; and the preceding chain of events represent but one possible outcome. However, it is much more likely than a utopian peace where all sides choose to multilaterally give up violence and ancient grievances.

Friday, September 23, 2011

Youtube's whitewashing of Arab hate media

My attention was recently turned towards a video on youtube of a Syrian TV show that portrayed Jews as killing innocent Christian children, to use their blood in the making of Passover matzah. It's the kind of ridiculous nonsense propaganda you'd expect from the Third Reich.
What's really disturbing, is that within a day, youtube removed the video based on its policy against hate speech. This was a very disturbing turn of events, because it hides the truth. It hides that there is a vicious and hateful attitude towards Jews in the Arab world. Pretending that it doesn't exist does nobody any favors.

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Why we oppose the UN's recognition of a "Palestinian" state.

    Recognition of a "Palestinian" state, wouldn't lead to peace; but it would almost certainly cause a war; and this is likely what Fatah and Hamas want.
    The people of Israel, for the most part, are a generous, peace-loving people. Citizens of Israel of all religions, including Islam, are free to practice how they see fit. This is something that cannot be said of all countries in the middle east. So, it may seem strange that so many American Jews will be marching on the UN to protest the recognition of a state for the "Palestinian" people.
    We do not hate; we love. We care for all people and all things. Over the years, Israeli leaders have made painful concessions. One of these leaders paid for these concessions with his life.  How can it be said that we are unreasonable? Over the years, we have put everything on the table, except the one thing that we cherish most; our own lives. On this, we refuse to yield; and it is for this contentious issue, there has been no deal, no peace.
    The so-called martyrs and holy soldiers of Fatah and Hamas continuously send missile barrages into our cities in the day; and scoundrels in the night to slaughter our children. We cease fire to give peace a chance; they cease fire to reload. Many have accused Israel to be a de facto apartheid state; many others dispute this. If Hamas had their way, there would be no ambiguity. It states clearly in their charter.
"Safety and security can only exist in the shadow of Islam." - Hamas charter article 31
    Recognizing a country whose ruling party is in de facto conflict with another nation could never lead to peace; it could only lead to war.
   Furthermore, the campaign by Fatah and Hamas is one of lies and obfuscation. Hamas's charter states as a primary source for evidence of Zionist conspiracy "The Protocols of the Elders of Zion," a fraudulent anti-Semitic screed that has been debunked as false since the early 20's. Israel needs not stand on houses of lies; we have the truth.

    So we shall not, cannot and must not allow any action that would legitimize a cabal of racist terrorist gangsters, until they first cede their campaign of annihilation.
    Make no mistake, they don't come for land; they come for our very lives. We have committed a very grave insult; to continue to exist in defiance of their will.

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Don't give up on Egypt just yet.

A strong vocal minority has made it clear they would like to revisit the days when Egypt and Israel are military enemies; without any strong opposition to their voice, it would appear that the relationship between Israel and Egypt has suffered a massive blow; one that is likely irreparable.

    Many months ago, I watched with hope and trepidation, as the thirty-year regime of Hosni Mubarak came to a sudden, shocking end, after months of protests by Egyptian citizens. Many, in the Israeli community were dismissive of the movement, saying it could only be bad for Israel. Many predicted that a secular nation, who had an uneasy peace with the Jewish state would fall into the hands of islamists. Many, said it was  more complicated than that.

    Worst fears appeared to be realized, when Egyptian rioters (sometimes inappropriately termed protestors) staged a shocking attack on the Israeli embassy in Cairo. In the incident, thousands of Egyptians, many of them carrying Korans, pushed through the barriers of the embassy and set it on fire. Miraculously, all members of the Israeli envoy escaped harm, with help from Egyptian security forces. Over one thousand Egyptians were injured, and three were killed. This followed an incident when five Egyptian soldiers were killed in clashes with Israeli Defense Forces, following cross-border attacks with terrorist groups believed to originate out of Gaza; and since, the fall of the Mubarak regime, there have been at least five attacks on the pipeline that provides Israel with oil from Egypt;

 The events looked eerily like a conspiracy plot to pit Israel and Egypt against each other. It's like Tom Clancy novel. Involve a small number of Egyptians in a border clash with IDF forces. When they're killed this sparks outrage amongst the Egyptian public. Then, stage a violent protest at the Israeli embassy that causes diplomatic tensions. Using this model it would be very easy to set the two side against each other then watch as the world burned. Which is why both sides need to affirm their vital, if not uneasy relationship.  The easiest way for a demagogue to gain power in the Arab world is to invoke Israel as an enemy; and blame Zionists for all problems.

    The conclusions were easy to draw; 'The Egyptian people have showed their true colors and they were anti-Israel. But, is it really that simple? Do the actions of these violent rioters represent the Egyptian people? Best estimates put the number of "protestors" outside the embassy at about 3,000. Estimates for anti-mubarak protests earlier in the year were around two million. This would suggest the strong anti-Israel contingent is a mere fraction of those looking to take Egypt in a new direction.  A revolution that took flight on concerns of freedom and economic reforms, is in mortal danger of being hijacked by Islamists and militants.  In July a coalition of moderate, secular groups withdrew from a Friday evening rally of unity, when they felt the event had been taken over by religious groups. Even leadership from the Muslim Brotherhood, have come out against Islamists who "were trying to impose there vision on people in Tahrir."

 Justice Minister Abdul Aziz Al-Jundi said after the attacks that they were the result of "external forces." Al Jundi is likely delusional. To deny that there is significant anti-Israeli sentiment amongst Islamist groups within their borders is silly. There can be no doubt, that the provisional leadership council needs to take more responsibility for internal security. However, this could be an opportunity for moving forward. First, the Egyptians must formally absolve Israel for liability in the deaths of the Egyptian forces earlier in the summer; then, they must go to the Egyptian people and explain why maintaining the tentative agreements with Israel is in their best security and economic interests.

The hard question is what to do with proto-militant groups who may arise now that the Mubarak regime is not around to suppress them.

    This question is harder asked than answered. Outright banning of the groups would likely do little to curb their activities; and would possibly garner them sympathy amongst the public. Strong support must be given to the progressive groups in Egypt who want real reforms that will help their country progress; and not the same Nationalistic demagoguery that has never done anything to help the people.

For Israel the question of the next course of action is quite more difficult.

    These events come at a time when Israel has a full plate diplomatically. They upcoming UN vote on Palestinian Statehood promises to be headache that won't go away anytime soon; and Israel's continuing tensions with Turkey do not look to be getting easier anytime soon. Israel can hardly afford to lose another ally, even if it is an ally in name only.




Thursday, September 1, 2011

Haters gonna Hate...Israel

UK Hate Groups Threaten Classical Music Among Other Things

Just get this out of the way. I love the UK; love it!
I love the Office; I love Guy Ritchie movies; I love Monty Python; and I love Dr. Who. Yet, while two recent incidents at classical music concerts can't be called a trend, they are disturbing. Mostly, because they are hate for hate's sake.

On Sepetember 1, a group of about twenty protesters stormed into London's Royal Albert Hall during an Israeli Philharmonic Performance of Max Bruch.

This latests display of bizarre manuafactured outrage came little over a year afterthe same group (Palestine Solidarity Campaign)  staged a similar protest in Scotland's Queen's hall. After that incident, several PSC members were charged in a Scottish court of hate speech; the charges were later dropped.

Now, I am not a fan of hate speech laws. They are arbitrary and are succeptible to abuse; but this is hate speech. The notion of justice for Gaza or Palestinians is little more than a farce. Their primary method of action, is their B.I.G. campaign for Boycott Israeli Goods. Also featured on their website, is a banner extolling justice for one "Sheikh" Raed Salah, a violent Israeli-Arab cleric with ties to Hamas and Iranian intelligence; he served a five-month prison sentence for assaulting a police officer. Raed is currently banned from entering the UK. PSC's affinity for Raed is somewhat perplexing, considering their desire for Peace and justice.

What is particularly disturbing about the PSC's campaign against classical music, is that it's not against any Israeli product, its against expression, against art and beauty. As despicable as some of the boycotts of Israeli goods are (some of them are just vandalism and theft), there is at least the small glimmer of logic amongst the nonesense. They say don't buy Israeli goods; fine don't buy them that is your right as a human being. But, the protests in concert halls are something new and disturbing, they aren't free expression, they are the denial of expression; and they arent't even in opposition to political speech. They are against classical music, out highest form of expression. Art is the one true thing that separates us from beasts. In this sense, their campaign for "human rights" is nothing short of inhumane.

No word yet if they plan on protesting a performance of Wagner at Royal Albert Hall this Tuesday. Wagner's music of course was the soundtrack of the Third Reich and the Holocaust.